LiveNewsLine-upsStatsFull-timeALMOST WON IT!Skov cuts back onto his left to cross from the right. Kramaric gets to it at the far post on the slide and the ball rolls agonisingly across the face of goal with no IN THE WARDSHe's taken a few heavy knocks since coming on and can't continue. Former Hoffenheim man Adamyan is on in his place for the closing check The fastest player in the game after 90 minutesSpeed check The fastest player in the game after 90 minutesThrough high-end camera technology and machine learning, the speed of each player is evaluated in real time. Top speed then means, the fastest measured single frame of a player/ ProbabilityThis Match Fact documents significant changes in the probability of victory for both teams during the course of the match. The value is based on actual match play and incorporates existing Match Facts such as Expected Goals, Skill and Set-Piece DangeWill that red make a difference? Cologne's win probability jumped as Kabak was given his marching orders, but the value is quickly dropping as the clock ticks OFF!Now then, we're in for a big final few minutes now. Kabak is already on a yellow as he mistimes a challenge on Dietz trying to run in behind. He knows immediately what's coming his way and stays down in yellow cardSTARTING TO FEEL IT?We've not seen a Cologne effort on goal since the 59th minute - just as Skov fires a free-kick wide on the right over the bar for Hoffenheim - but Baumgart won't accept tiredness as an excuse as he hops and jumps around the touchline urging his side LEGSBoth teams make changes in attacking positions, with TSG's goalscorer one of those making way.© IMAGO/Revierfoto/IMAGO/RevierfotoSubstitutionSubstitutionSubstitutionSKOV HAS A GOQuaresma dribbles confidently down the right, slips in Skov on the overlap and he tries to beat Schwäbe from a tight angle, but he parries it over the bar. That was TSG's first shot since equalising in the 36th SIGN OF FATIGUEAll three shots this half have come from the hosts. Remember that they were in action as late as Friday afternoon after their Europa Conference League game got postponed. Still no sign of any subs from Steffen Baumgart DOWNThe former Cologne man has gone down and stayed down holding his leg. It looks like he's done for the SWITCHRudy won just one of his 10 challenges today and is replaced by Hoffenheim's record goalscorer - and top-scoring substitute with eight Bundesliga goals from the bench - Kramaric as TSG look to push for a FAIR SCORE ON BALANCE?The xGoals value of a club is calculated from the sum of all goal probabilities goals and shots on goal of that team. During a match, it’s easy to see whether the club is performing better than expected goals > xGoals - or maybe even higher xGoals > goals.KAINZ DENIED!Schmitz floats in a cross looking for the tall figure of Tigges. It just goes over him but lands at Kainz, who tries to coolly slot it past Baumann at his near post, but the Hoffenheim goalkeeper makes himself wide to RUNKabak picks up the ball on the edge of his own area, under pressure, but he somehow wriggles his way through and sets off on a mazy run towards the other box. He lays the ball off about 25 yards from goal but the final pass is just cut out in time by a Cologne cardBACK UNDER WAYThe visitors have made a change at the break with Akpoguma replacing Nsoki in the back three. That's perhaps about offering more protection and preventing Maina from getting one-on-one with Vogt as often as he did in the first YOU FIND TEXAN HENNES?He might have been ruled out of today's game by flu, but Cologne mascot Hennes is never far from people's minds in this city. And the club are in need of a Texan replacement as they head to Austin during the World Cup break. Can you help out with a local Billy Goat?ALL SQUAREBruun Larsen's first Bundesliga goal since February means we go into the break level at the RheinEnergieStadion.© Lars Baron/Getty ImagesHalf-timeWin ProbabilityThis Match Fact documents significant changes in the probability of victory for both teams during the course of the match. The value is based on actual match play and incorporates existing Match Facts such as Expected Goals, Skill and Set-Piece DangeHoffenheim's chances of victory today dropped below 14% when they went behind, but that equaliser has seen their Win Probability double to almost 30%. Cologne are still the statistical favourites, however, at That leaves draw on LEVEL!From out of nowehere, Hoffenheim have drawn level. Baumgartner skips past Soldo on the left and into the penalty area. He pulls the ball back and Bruun Larsen gets between two defenders to turn it in and we're now all square. Goal probability Goal probability determines the likelihood that the ball will land in the goal from every position on the pitch. The value is based on large amounts of data from previous years; factors such as shot angle, distance to goal and opponent pressure - as well as mathematical %BAUMGARTNER ON THE SPIN...First chance of note from the visitors as an Angelino cross comes through to Baumgartner - who's starting up front alongside Bruun Larsen for the first time. He spins and shoots on his right but it's off AGAIN FROM KAINZ!Mainz pinches the ball off Vogt to the right of the box and squares for Kainz running in from deep, but he can't hit the target looking for the top DIFFERENCE SO FAR© IMAGO/Ralf Treese/IMAGO/TreeseSpeed check The fastest player in the game after 30 minutesSpeed check The fastest player in the game after 30 minutesThrough high-end camera technology and machine learning, the speed of each player is evaluated in real time. Top speed then means, the fastest measured single frame of a player/ NETTING!Maina is onto a ball over the top and Nsoki can't catch him. The angle is narrowing so he goes for the near post, but puts it the wrong side of the TRAFFICHoffenheim are seeing more of the ball, but it's Cologne creating all the TO AN EQUALISER!Skov's ball in from the right is met by Prömel and it takes an excellent reaction stop from Schwäbe to keep it out. Soldo is then alert to clear the loose ProbabilityThis Match Fact documents significant changes in the probability of victory for both teams during the course of the match. The value is based on actual match play and incorporates existing Match Facts such as Expected Goals, Skill and Set-Piece DangeCologne are the only team this season to have won in every game where they've taken the lead four times previously. And that goal has boosted their win probability from 40% at kick-off up to 66% RARE EVENTThis is the first time Cologne have scored in the opening quarter of an hour this ONE STICKS!First effort of the game and Cologne are ahead! Mainz with the cross from the right and Kainz gets his foot over the bouncing ball to leave Baumann no chance from 10 yards. Goal probability Goal probability determines the likelihood that the ball will land in the goal from every position on the pitch. The value is based on large amounts of data from previous years; factors such as shot angle, distance to goal and opponent pressure - as well as mathematical %10 MINUTES GONEStill no attempts on goal...EARLY BOOKINGKabak goes into the referee's notebook early on as he slips and ends up blocking a ball with his hand while trying to recover. It's his fifth of the season, so he'll miss next week's game against cardSTRAIGHT OUT THE BLOCKSHoffenheim kick us off and burst forward with three passes. Angelino tries to pick out a blue shirt in the box but his cross is cut WEATHERIt's still a balmy 16 degrees in Cologne on the eve of Halloween. But it could be -16 and Steffen Baumgart would still be in a COME THE TEAMSEight down, just one to go this matchday as the teams emerge at the RheinEnergieStadion to 50,000 fans belting out their club TEAM NEWSCologne show three changes to the side that took a beating against Mainz last time out. Nikola Soldo, Kristian Pedersen and Denis Huseinbasic are all in for the hosts. TSG TEAM NEWS Jacob Bruun Larsen makes his first start for two and a half months while Sebastian Rudy is in Hoffenheim's starting eleven for the first time in 2022. The last time Rudy was in from the get-go was December 15, 2021 in a 2-2 draw at Leverkusen.© Imago059WATCH THE COLONGE PLAYERS CHECK OUT THEIR HOMECOLOGNE SUBSHorn, Uth, Schindler, Adamyan, Dietz, Schmid, Schwirten, Smajic, StrauchCOLOGNE STARTING XISchwäbe - Schmitz, Soldo, Hübers, Pedersen - Duda, Martel - Huseinbasic, Maina, Kainz c - TiggesTSG SUBS Noll, Kaderabek, Stiller, Becker, Akpoguma, Quaresma, Kramaric, Rutter, DamarTSG STARTING XI Baumann c - Kabak, Vogt, Nsoki - Skov, Rudy, Geiger, Angelino – Prömel - Baumgartner, Bruun LarsenLAST BUT BY NO MEANS LEASTA return to winning ways and possibly the top six is all that matters to Cologne and Hoffenheim in Matchday 12's final fixture. These two sides have a habit of entertaining, so do the right thing and join us for all the match coverage you can shake a stick GET READY FOR COLOGNE VS. HOFFENHEIM!